Global electricity demand set to rise strongly this year and next, reflecting its expanding role in energy systems around the world

今年到明年的全球電力需求將強勁成長,反映出電能在全球能源系統中的作用不斷擴大

2024.07.19 發布
IEA
新聞 能源與運輸

Global electricity demand is forecast to grow by around 4% in 2024, up from 2.5% in 2023, the IEA’s Electricity Mid-Year Update finds. This would represent the highest annual growth rate since 2007, excluding the exceptional rebounds seen in the wake of the global financial crisis and the Covid-19 pandemic. The strong increase in global electricity consumption is set to continue into 2025, with growth around 4% again, according to the report. Renewable sources of electricity are also set to expand rapidly this year and next, with their share of global electricity supply forecast to rise from 30% in 2023 to 35% in 2025. The amount of electricity generated by renewables worldwide in 2025 is forecast to eclipse the amount generated by coal for the first time. Solar PV alone is expected to meet roughly half of the growth in global electricity demand over 2024 and 2025 – with solar and wind combined meeting as much as three-quarters of the growth.

IEA的電力年中更新(Electricity Mid-Year Update)報告顯示,預計2024年全球電力需求將成長4%左右,高於2023年的2.5%。這將是自2007年以來的最高年度成長率,不包括全球金融危機和後疫情時代的反彈。報告稱,全球電力消費的強勁成長預計將持續到2025年,增幅再次達到4%左右。 再生能源電力也將在這兩年迅速擴張,預計其在全球電力供應中的占比將從 2023年的30%上升到2025年的35%。預計2025年全球再生能源發電量將首次超過煤炭發電量;僅太陽能光電發電就能滿足2024年和2025年全球電力需求成長的約一半,而太陽能和風能合計將滿足四分之三的成長。

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